USMNT defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 on July 1, 2026 in a FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium. Folarin Balogun scored just before halftime and Malik Tillman added a free-kick goal in the 82nd minute, even after Balogun was controversially sent off in the 64th minute. The prediction that USMNT would deliver at home under pressure was fully validated.

Belgium defeated the USA 4-1 on July 6, 2026 in the Round of 16, completely reversing the predicted outcome. Charles De Ketelaere scored twice, Hans Vanaken added a third after a goalkeeper error, and Romelu Lukaku sealed it in stoppage time — the USA's only goal was a Malik Tillman free kick. McCarty correctly anticipated Belgium's depth (De Bruyne/Doku/Lukaku as second-half threats, with Lukaku indeed scoring) but was wrong on every other dimension: winner, scoreline, and dominant team.

Awaiting result — this take gets a grade once it resolves.