Fantasy Football
Dallas Ertz · TE · ADP 141.5
“@asili1961 Then draft away boss but I won’t be hyping Ertz this year. “Best of luck“”
What Would Make This True
Take is TRUE if Ertz finishes outside top-10 TEs or significantly underperforms his ADP. Take is FALSE if Ertz finishes as a top-10 TE or meets reasonable expectations for his draft capital.
35
Boldness
22/100
Accuracy
Verdict
MOSTLY WRONGErtz was drafted at ADP 141.5 (a very late-round pick, not rounds 1-3), which makes the formal bust-call criteria technically inapplicable — he was never a top-36 pick. Within the spirit of the call, however, Ertz largely defied the bearish prediction: he finished as the TE19 overall in PPR leagues with 50 catches for 504 yards and 4 TDs across 13 games before suffering a season-ending ACL tear in Week 14. While he fell short of elite TE1 production, he was a functional, roster-worthy fantasy contributor for most of the season — not the bust Dynasty Dad implied.