Fantasy Football
Derrick Henry · RB · ADP 11
“@17gamepace Henry is a steal in the late 1st Check out my Draft Plan to SMASH from 1.12”
Original Tweet
https://t.co/DgMRcLbd54
What Would Make This True
Take is TRUE if Henry finishes as a top-5 RB in PPR or scoring, validating his late-1st round ADP as undervalued. Take is FALSE if Henry finishes outside top-10 RB or injuries/performance suggest he was overvalued at that ADP.
35
Boldness
72/100
Accuracy
Verdict
MOSTLY RIGHTHenry finished the 2025 season with 1,595 rushing yards, 16 touchdowns, and 307 carries across all 17 games, landing as the RB8 in fantasy points per game — a solid but step-down performance from his elite 2024 campaign. The 'steal in the late 1st' call was partially vindicated since he delivered RB1 production, but his ADP of ~10-11 meant he was drafted squarely in the middle of the first round, not the late 1st as the tweet implied, and his finish as RB8 rather than a top-5 option made the 'steal' framing somewhat overstated.