THE TAKE
I’ve got no problem with Josh Allen winning his 1st MVP. But Lamar has been better this year. Period, The End.
BOLDNESS
55/100
GRADE
82/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
Lamar JacksonJosh Allen
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
Lamar Jackson finished the 2024 NFL regular season with superior advanced metrics (EPA/play, QBR, passer rating), comparable or better counting stats, and/or a stronger statistical case than Josh Allen as judged by at least two of the following: Pro Football Reference AV, ESPN QBR ranking, Next Gen Stats grade, or consensus analyst evaluation. Take is
FALSE IF
Josh Allen's overall statistical and performance profile clearly surpassed Jackson's across the majority of key metrics by season's end.
hot takecontrarianrecency bias
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED TRUELamar Jackson finished the 2024 NFL regular season with statistically superior numbers to Josh Allen across nearly every major metric — more passing yards (4,172 vs. 3,371), more passing TDs (41 vs. 28), fewer interceptions (4 vs. 6), higher passer rating (119.6 vs. 101.4), more rushing yards (915 vs. 531), and nearly identical QBR (77.2 vs. 77.5). Jackson was named First Team All-Pro while Allen was Second Team All-Pro, and Jackson won both the NFLPA MVP (voted by players) and the Pro Football Writers of America MVP. Allen won the AP MVP award by a narrow margin (27 first-place votes to Jackson's 23), widely viewed as a controversial outcome.