THE TAKE
I can’t imagine SGA winning another MVP in his career. This definitely feels like a one-off situation where everything just went right for him and his team this season.
BOLDNESS
70/100
GRADE
4/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
SGA
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
SGA (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) never wins another NBA MVP award for the remainder of his career.
FALSE IF
he wins one or more additional MVP awards at any point before retiring.
bold callrecency biashot takecontrarianflip risk
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED FALSESGA won the 2025-26 NBA MVP award, becoming a back-to-back winner just one season after his first MVP — directly contradicting the prediction that it was a one-time achievement. He won in a landslide with 83 of 100 first-place votes, leading the Thunder to a 64-18 record. He is now the 14th player in NBA history to win consecutive MVP awards, joining elite company like Michael Jordan, Magic Johnson, Stephen Curry, and Steve Nash.