THE TAKE
The Knicks should be favorites now and should be slightly larger favorites than the current -140 line
BOLDNESS
35/100
GRADE
85/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
None tagged
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
the Knicks are listed as favorites (odds shorter than -140, e.g. -150 or greater) at a major sportsbook within 24-48 hours of the take being made, reflecting a market move in their direction.
FALSE IF
lines hold at -140 or shift toward the opponent.
vaguerecency bias
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED TRUEWhen Nick Wright made this take on June 4, the Knicks were listed at -140 at DraftKings to win the 2026 NBA Finals series over the Spurs. The line moved in the Knicks' favor almost immediately after their Game 2 win, and by the time Game 3 odds were posted the Knicks had ballooned to -500 favorites before settling back to -190 after the Spurs won Game 3. By the resolution date (June 11), the Knicks led the series 3-1 and were massive championship favorites, trading at 83¢ on Kalshi — far beyond the -150 threshold Wright implied.