THE TAKE
No surprise: SGA wins a back-to-back MVP with an even better season than he had last year. Also won Clutch Player of the Year with 16 go-ahead field goals in late-and-close games. HE was born with a dominant clutch gene.
BOLDNESS
8/100
GRADE
72/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
SGA
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE if: (1) SGA was officially awarded the 2025-26 NBA MVP, making it back-to-back MVPs; (2) his key statistical outputs (points, efficiency, win shares, or MVP voting margin) were measurably better than his prior MVP season; (3) he won the 2025-26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year award; (4) official NBA stats confirm at least 16 go-ahead field goals by SGA in late-and-close game situations during the 2025-26 regular season.
recency biasvagueunfalsifiable
OUTCOME
PARTIALLY TRUESGA did win back-to-back MVP awards (2024-25 and 2025-26) and also won the Clutch Player of the Year award with exactly 16 go-ahead field goals, confirming those parts of the prediction. However, his raw scoring dropped from 32.7 PPG to 31.1 PPG, meaning his season was not statistically 'better' in the most obvious metric — though he was significantly more efficient (55.3% FG vs. prior season), which complicates the 'better season' claim depending on how it's measured.