RATE/MY/SPORTS/TAKE
THE TAKE
Absurd, and Bill James knows it. Munson was a demonstrably better player than Varitek. This is exquisite trolling.
VIEW ORIGINAL SOURCEtwitter.com/maxkellerman/status/1661138755896623105
AGRADE
CONFIRMED TRUE
Resolved MAY 23, 2023
BOLDNESS
45/100
GRADE
85/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
Thurman MunsonJason Varitek
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
consensus advanced metrics and historical baseball analysis (WAR, OPS+, defensive value, peak performance) support Munson as the clearly superior player compared to Varitek across their respective careers.
FALSE IF
credible statistical frameworks consistently rate Varitek equal to or better than Munson.
unfalsifiablecontrarianhot take
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED TRUE
The statistical record overwhelmingly confirms Kellerman's take. Munson accumulated 46.1 bWAR in just 10 full seasons with an OPS+ of 116, an AL MVP, Rookie of the Year, and ranks 4th all-time in WAR/G among catchers. Varitek, in 15 seasons, produced only 24.2 bWAR, and ranks 41st in WAR/G. Even Bill James's own metrics (Gray Ink Test and Hall of Fame Monitor) rate Munson dramatically higher than Varitek. Kellerman correctly identified that Bill James's apparent championing of Varitek over Munson was contradicted by James's own analytical framework.