Argentina were correctly identified as underdogs vs England (listed at +200 moneyline, with England favored at around -130 to advance), so that part of the prediction was accurate. However, Argentina won the semifinal 2-1 and advanced to the World Cup Final, making them the 2nd-best (or potentially 1st-best) team in the tournament — not the 4th-best. France finished 4th after losing the third-place match 6-4 to England.