THE TAKE
Josh Allen comes back on Joe Burrow last week, then ices the win vs Drake Maye and the Pats today just as Mahomes was knocked out of his game, and of the playoffs.
The eyes, the analytics, and the team results say the same thing:
Josh Allen is the best quarterback in football.
BOLDNESS
35/100
GRADE
20/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
Josh Allen
GRADING CRITERIA
Josh Allen finishes the 2025 NFL season and playoffs ranked #1 or #2 in major QB efficiency metrics (e.g. EPA/play, QBR, PFF grade), leads the Bills to a deep playoff run (AFC Championship or Super Bowl), and receives consensus recognition as the league's top QB from major outlets and analytics platforms by end of Super Bowl LIX.
recency biashot take
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED FALSEJosh Allen had a strong 2025 regular season (41 total TDs, 4,269 total yards, reigning 2024 MVP), but he was not recognized as the best QB in football by end of Super Bowl LIX. The 2025 AP NFL MVP went to Matthew Stafford, with Drake Maye a razor-close runner-up; Allen finished a distant third in voting with just 2 first-place votes. In the key efficiency metrics (EPA/play, QBR, passer rating), Allen ranked well behind both Maye (#1 in EPA/pass at 0.418, #1 in QBR and completion %) and Stafford (#1 in PFF passing grade at 93.3). The Bills were also eliminated in the Divisional Round by the Denver Broncos 33-30 in overtime, falling short of the AFC Championship — a key benchmark for the prediction.