THE TAKE
I don't know if their record is going to be much better than 10-7, maybe they gain a game, maybe they win one extra, 11 games, but I do think they'll be more competitive, and they'll be better when they get into the playoffs.
BOLDNESS
20/100
GRADE
20/100
PLAYERS / TEAMS
None tagged
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
the team finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with 10 or 11 wins AND shows measurable improvement in playoff performance compared to the prior postseason (e.g., wins a playoff game they previously lost, advances further, or covers spreads more consistently). Take is
FALSE IF
the team finishes with 9 or fewer wins, or with 12+ wins, or if playoff performance is clearly worse than the prior year.
vagueunfalsifiable
OUTCOME
CONFIRMED FALSESchlereth predicted the Denver Broncos would finish with roughly 10-11 wins in 2025, but they went 14-3, tying a franchise record and earning the AFC's No. 1 seed — well above the 12+ threshold that triggers FALSE. On the playoff improvement front, the Broncos dramatically exceeded expectations by winning their first playoff game since Super Bowl 50 and reaching the AFC Championship, but the win total condition is clearly and definitively violated.