THE TAKE
Year 3 is the 'POP year' for many great quarterbacks where they take off. Peyton Manning, Andrew Luck, and Josh Allen all had breakout third seasons, and Caleb Williams is expected to follow this pattern.
BOLDNESS
38/100
GRADE
—
PLAYERS / TEAMS
Caleb WilliamsPeyton ManningAndrew LuckJosh Allen
GRADING CRITERIA
TRUE IF
Williams demonstrates a measurable 'breakout' by consensus analyst standards;
FALSE IF
his Year 3 performance is comparable to or worse than Years 1-2.
pattern basedhistorical compnarrativesurvivor bias
This take hasn't been graded yet. Resolution expected JAN 15, 2027.